Research Brief · January 2026

Proposal For A New Defense Strategy for Lithuania

Lithuania's current defense is overly reliant on external help — with little to no Plan B. In a world increasingly dictated by strength, this represents a substantial vulnerability. To address that, we are proposing a radical paradigm shift based on the French deterrence model.

In the aftermath of the Second World War — and after three devastating wars with Germany — France committed to a massive investment in its defense to ensure that, once and for all, its sovereignty would never be questioned ever again. From that emerged the development of the nuclear weapons program, ensuring any aggressor would suffer catastrophic consequences.

We seek to replicate the same logic to Lithuanian defense, at an identical cost as a share of GDP as France's investments in deterrence. Recent advances in AI, autonomous systems, and drone warfare have fundamentally transformed what a small nation can achieve independently to safeguard its sovereignty.

Our 200 defense initiatives are designed exactly for that: to guarantee unbearable costs to any aggressor — and, once and for all, secure Lithuania's full sovereignty through strength, not dependency.

Research Pipeline
Published66
Not public134
Total200
Categories11
Latest Proposals

Defense Initiatives

drones

Autonomous Counter-Drone Interceptor Swarm System

Deploy autonomous interceptor drone swarms to counter mass OWA-UAV attacks at cost parity, bridging the 'attrition trap' that renders traditional GBAD economically unsustainable

drones

Defensive Drone Interceptor Fleet

Deploy autonomous interceptor drone fleet achieving 1:12 to 1:60 cost-exchange ratio against Shahed-type threats, providing the 'democratization of air defense' that transforms billion-dollar state programs into agile, tech-forward units

infrastructure

Energy Infrastructure Hardening and Decentralization Program

Transform Lithuania's energy system from centralized vulnerability to distributed resilience through massive decentralization and hardening of critical nodes.

intelligence

Baltic Spy Satellites

Establish joint Estonian-Latvian-Lithuanian to build and operate a spy satellite constellation (3 SAR, 3 optical) providing 25cm resolution and 4-hour revisit for sovereign Baltic ISR capability

intelligence

Offensive Cyber Operations Capability Development

Develop offensive cyber operations capability for asymmetric deterrence and strategic effect against adversary command, logistics, and infrastructure systems

legal

Fast Defense Procurement Legal Framework

The Ukraine war is as much a technology revolution as it is a procurement one. Ukrainian army is today able to purchase in record times (10 days) and iterate rapidly products with suppliers. This initiative aims at passing new procurement law enabling 7-day contracting through pre-approved vendor registry

strategy

Mutually Assured Destruction - implementation of the French Gaullist Model to Lithuania

Transpose French nuclear doctrine of Mutually Assured Destruction to conventional weapons, building a national arsenal that guarantees unbearable retaliatory costs for any aggressor.

strategy

French Nuclear Weapons Hosting and Permanent Forces Agreement

Negotiate agreement with France to extend nuclear deterrence to Lithuania under the emerging European nuclear umbrella framework established by the Northwood Declaration

strategy

Lithuanian Border Defense Line

Construct a national fortification system encompassing all 1,650 km of Lithuanian borders with three-echelon defense architecture, smart mine warfare integration, and drone-optimized strongpoints—creating the most fortified nation in Europe.

strategy

Total National Mobilization Doctrine

Transform Lithuania into an 'indigestible society' through universal conscription, six-pillar Total Defense, and deterrence by resilience.

strike

Counter-Satellite Capability Development for Russian Orbital Denial

Develop multi-domain counter-satellite capabilities to deny Russian space-based PNT, ISR, communications, and early warning during crisis or conflict

strike

Strategic Deep Strike Drone Capability (1000km+)

Develop strategic strike drones capable of reaching targets 1000+ km deep in adversary territory

Supporting Programs

Enabling Capabilities

Baltic Defense Initiative · Vilnius

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