Executive Summary
Mass production of low-cost loitering munitions provides Lithuania with the most cost-effective means to engage high-value enemy targets at scale. Ukraine's experience demonstrates that expendable precision drones, produced in thousands monthly, can overwhelm air defenses, destroy armored vehicles, damage critical infrastructure, and force adversaries to relocate strategic assets—all while maintaining favorable cost-exchange ratios. This initiative establishes domestic production capacity for 500+ loitering munitions per month, with variants optimized for anti-armor, anti-infrastructure, and maritime targets. At €10,000-20,000 per unit, these systems can destroy targets worth millions of euros, enabling sustainable attrition warfare that exhausts enemy resources. The modular design allows rapid development of new variants based on operational feedback. For Lithuania, national production capability eliminates dependency on foreign suppliers during conflict, ensures supply continuity, and creates export opportunities with NATO allies. The 200-500km range covers all Baltic operational requirements, while integration with NATO targeting systems enables coalition operations.
Transforms Lithuania from a country dependent on expensive imported missiles into a producer of mass precision strike capability—providing both domestic stockpiles and potential exports to allies.
In short: Establishes sovereign production capability for precision strike munitions at scale, enabling Lithuania to conduct sustained operations with favorable cost-exchange ratios against high-value targets while eliminating supply dependencies.
The Problem
Russia can mass significant armored forces, air defense systems, and logistics infrastructure against the Baltic states. These high-value targets require precision engagement at scale—hundreds to thousands of strikes during a sustained conflict.
Lithuania lacks domestic production of precision strike munitions. Current stockpiles of imported missiles are expensive and limited in quantity. No capacity for sustained high-tempo precision strike operations.
Without action: Dependency on imported munitions creates supply vulnerability. Limited stockpiles exhausted quickly in conflict. Inability to generate mass effects against enemy formations.
Lithuanian Context
Lithuania's small defense budget requires maximum effect per euro spent. Loitering munitions provide the best cost-exchange ratio available, enabling a small nation to impose disproportionate costs on a larger adversary. Domestic production ensures supply independence during conflict.
Baltic distances (300-500km to Kaliningrad) are well within loitering munition range. Lithuania's flat terrain favors low-altitude approach profiles. Maritime variant essential for Baltic Sea operations. Launch sites can cover all regional targets.